Jul 30, 2026
Probability rose from 79.5% to 87.5% — a 8.0-point move over the past day.
MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets have settled Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10 at 99.7%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10Event concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $91.6K
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? | 99.7% | — |
| Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Brian Jaye be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Tim Greimel be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Tripp Adams be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? | 0.0% | — |
| Will another candidate be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? | 0.0% | — |
Context
Jul 30, 2026
Probability rose from 79.0% to 81.0% — a 2.0-point move over the past day.
Jul 28, 2026
Probability fell from 80.5% to 78.0% — a 2.5-point move over the past day.
Jul 27, 2026
Probability fell from 81.0% to 77.5% — a 3.5-point move over the past day.
Jul 22, 2026
Probability rose from 79.5% to 81.5% — a 2.0-point move over the past day.
Show earlier updates
Jul 20, 2026
Probability rose from 75.5% to 81.0% — a 5.5-point move over the past day.
Jul 20, 2026
Probability rose from 75.0% to 81.0% — a 6.0-point move over the past day.
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice