Aug 4, 2026
Probability rose from 92.4% to 96.0% — a 3.6-point move over the past day.
Around this time: El-Sayed, Stevens face off in Michigan Democratic Senate primary — Al Jazeera
MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets have settled Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11 at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11Event concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $70.1K
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Don Ufford be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Andy Levin be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Dave Woodward be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? | 0.1% | — |
| Will another candidate be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? | 0.0% | — |
Context
Aug 3, 2026
Probability rose from 90.9% to 96.0% — a 5.1-point move over the past day.
Around this time: El-Sayed, Stevens face off in Michigan Democratic Senate primary — Al Jazeera
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice