Jul 31, 2026
Probability rose from 79.5% to 83.5% — a 4.0-point move over the past day.
MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets have settled Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13 at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13Event concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $1.8M
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Nazmul Hassan be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Anthony Carbonaro be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Shelby Campbell be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | 0.0% | — |
Context
Jul 30, 2026
Probability fell from 87.0% to 77.5% — a 9.5-point move over the past day.
Jul 26, 2026
Probability rose from 81.5% to 91.5% — a 10.0-point move over the past day.
Jul 25, 2026
Probability rose from 79.5% to 81.5% — a 2.0-point move over the past day.
Jul 24, 2026
Probability rose from 76.5% to 81.0% — a 4.5-point move over the past day.
Show earlier updates
Jul 18, 2026
Probability fell from 82.0% to 68.5% — a 13.5-point move over the past day.
Jul 17, 2026
Probability fell from 82.0% to 77.0% — a 5.0-point move over the past day.
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice