Michigan Governor Election Winner: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026 at 84.0%.

84.0%0.0 pts 24h

Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?

Updated · Volume $191.1K

80%82%84%87%Jun 14Jun 22Jun 29Jul 7Jul 14
OutcomeProbability24h
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?84.0%0.0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?16.0%0.0
Will an independent win the Michigan governor race in 2026?0.1%-0.1
Will Option C win the Michigan governor race in 2026?0.0%
Will Option D win the Michigan governor race in 2026?0.0%
Will Option I win the Michigan governor race in 2026?0.0%
Will Option B win the Michigan governor race in 2026?0.0%
Will Option H win the Michigan governor race in 2026?0.0%
Will Option E win the Michigan governor race in 2026?0.0%
Will Option F win the Michigan governor race in 2026?0.0%
Will Option G win the Michigan governor race in 2026?0.0%
Will Option J win the Michigan governor race in 2026?0.0%
Will Other win the Michigan governor race in 2026?0.0%

The top 5 outcomes account for 100.2% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 13 tracked outcomes and $191.1K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026, is priced at 84.0%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice