Michigan Senate Election Winner: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026 at 62.5%.

62.5%0.0 pts 24h

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Updated · Volume $709.3K

53%58%63%68%Aug 14Aug 21Aug 29Sep 5Sep 12
OutcomeProbability24h
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?62.5%0.0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?37.0%0.0
Will a candidate not listed above win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?0.0%0.0

The top 3 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 3 tracked outcomes and $709.3K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026, is priced at 62.5%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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