Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election at 81.7%.
81.7%+0.6 pts 24h
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
Updated · Volume $371.6K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 81.7% | +0.6 |
| Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 5.5% | +0.1 |
| Will Patrus Ananias win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 3.0% | -0.6 |
| Will Gabriel Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 2.5% | +0.1 |
| Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 2.5% | -0.2 |
| Will Flávio Roscoe win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 1.8% | +0.2 |
| Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 1.1% | +0.4 |
| Will Luís Eduardo Falcão win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Euclydes Pettersen win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| Will Nikolas Ferreira win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Will Gleidson Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Will Vittorio Medioli win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.2% | 0.0 |
| Will Alexandre Silveira win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Tadeu Leite win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Aécio Neves win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder 17 win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder 19 win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder 20 win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder 10 win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder 9 win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder 16 win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder 12 win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder 15 win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will someone else win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder 14 win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder 13 win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder 18 win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder 11 win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 94.3% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 30 tracked outcomes and $371.6K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election, is priced at 81.7%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice