Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election at 83.3%.
83.3%-2.0 pts 24h
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
Updated · Volume $394.5K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 83.3% | -2.0 |
| Will Patrus Ananias win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 5.7% | 0.0 |
| Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 2.8% | +0.3 |
| Will Gabriel Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 1.7% | -0.1 |
| Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.9% | +0.1 |
| Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.6% | 0.0 |
| Will Flávio Roscoe win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| Will Luís Eduardo Falcão win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.3% | -0.1 |
| Will Tadeu Leite win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Nikolas Ferreira win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Aécio Neves win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Euclydes Pettersen win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Gleidson Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Alexandre Silveira win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Vittorio Medioli win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder 10 win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder 13 win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder 16 win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder 15 win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder 12 win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will someone else win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder 14 win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder 19 win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder 9 win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder 11 win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder 17 win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder 20 win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder 18 win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 97.1% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 30 tracked outcomes and $394.5K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election, is priced at 83.3%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice