Aug 3, 2026
Probability rose from 95.0% to 96.5% — a 1.5-point move over the past day.
Minnesota Republican Senate Primary Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets have settled Will Michele Tafoya be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will Michele Tafoya be the Republican nominee for Senate in MinnesotaEvent concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $118.4K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Michele Tafoya be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Julia Coleman be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Raymond Petersen be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Christopher Brooks be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | 0.1% | — |
| Will David Hann be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Jim Nash be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Tom Weiler be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Kristin Robbins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Mike Ruoho be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Alycia Gruenhagen be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Adam Schwarze be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Royce White be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | 0.0% | — |
| Will another candidate be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | 0.0% | — |
Context
Jul 31, 2026
Probability rose from 94.2% to 96.9% — a 2.7-point move over the past day.
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice