Jul 28, 2026
Probability fell from 7.5% to 0.9% — a 6.7-point move over the past day.
Around this time: Mitch McConnell still not cleared to resume Senate duties, office says — The Guardian
Mitch McConnell Senate Vote by July 31: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets have settled Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31 at 0.1%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31Event concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $63.9K
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
Context
Jul 27, 2026
Probability fell from 8.0% to 4.0% — a 4.0-point move over the past day.
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice