MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Yordan Alvarez hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season at 45.0%.
45.0%0.0 pts 24h
Will Yordan Alvarez hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
Updated · Volume $24.7K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Yordan Alvarez hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 45.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Kyle Schwarber hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 44.5% | 0.0 |
| Will James Wood hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 40.1% | -0.8 |
| Will Junior Caminero hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 38.4% | +1.3 |
| Will Hunter Goodman hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 11.7% | +0.4 |
| Will Nick Kurtz hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 10.5% | -2.5 |
| Will Matt Olson hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 9.0% | +5.9 |
| Will Ben Rice hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 4.4% | -33.5 |
| Will Shea Langeliers hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 3.2% | — |
| Will Shohei Ohtani hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 3.1% | — |
| Will Colson Montgomery hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 3.0% | — |
| Will Kazuma Okamoto hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 3.0% | — |
| Will Manny Machado hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 2.9% | — |
| Will Byron Buxton hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 2.8% | — |
| Will Pete Alonso hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 2.5% | — |
| Will Bryce Harper hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 2.5% | — |
| Will Mike Trout hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 2.4% | — |
| Will Aaron Judge hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 1.9% | — |
| Will Miguel Vargas hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 1.8% | — |
| Will Brandon Lowe hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 1.8% | — |
| Will Dillon Dingler hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 1.8% | — |
| Will Christian Walker hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 1.7% | — |
| Will Juan Soto hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 1.7% | — |
| Will Ketel Marte hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 1.7% | — |
| Will Andy Pages hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 1.6% | — |
| Will Wilson Contreras hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 1.5% | — |
| Will Munetaka Murakami hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 1.3% | — |
| Will CJ Abrams hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 1.1% | — |
| Will Jordan Walker hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 0.8% | — |
| Will Dansby Swanson hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | 0.7% | — |
The top 5 outcomes account for 179.6% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 30 tracked outcomes and $24.7K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Yordan Alvarez hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season, is priced at 45.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice