Jul 27, 2026
Resolved: Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27 — NO. A week before, markets priced it at 13%.
Prediction markets have settled Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27 at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Updated · Volume $46.2M
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | 100.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Team C in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Team D in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Team A in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for another team in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Team E in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Team B in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? | 0.0% | — |
Jul 27, 2026
Resolved: Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27 — NO. A week before, markets priced it at 13%.
Jul 25, 2026
Probability rose from 7.8% to 99.6% — a 91.8-point move over the past day.
Around this time: LeBron James is heading to the Philadelphia 76ers from Los Angeles Lakers — Al Jazeera
Jul 24, 2026
Probability rose from 7.0% to 99.7% — a 92.6-point move over the past day.
Jul 22, 2026
Probability rose from 36.3% to 49.1% — a 12.9-point move over the past day.
Around this time: Where will LeBron James go next? NBA star ‘not rushed’ to make a decision — Al Jazeera
Jul 21, 2026
Probability rose from 28.7% to 39.1% — a 10.4-point move over the past day.
Around this time: Where will LeBron James go next? NBA star ‘not rushed’ to make a decision — Al Jazeera
Jul 21, 2026
Probability fell from 47.8% to 38.0% — a 9.8-point move over the past day.
Jul 20, 2026
Probability rose from 39.9% to 47.9% — a 7.9-point move over the past day.
Jul 19, 2026
Probability rose from 24.1% to 47.4% — a 23.3-point move over the past day.
Jul 19, 2026
Probability fell from 49.0% to 37.0% — a 12.0-point move over the past day.
Jul 19, 2026
Probability rose from 22.8% to 55.5% — a 32.8-point move over the past day.
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice