Nevada Governor Election Winner: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026 at 54.5%.

54.5%+2.0 pts 24h

Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

Updated · Volume $452.9K

41%48%54%61%Sep 17Sep 25Oct 2Oct 9Oct 17
OutcomeProbability24h
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?54.5%+2.0
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?46.5%-1.0
Will Option I win the Nevada governor race in 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Option E win the Nevada governor race in 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Option F win the Nevada governor race in 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Option D win the Nevada governor race in 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Option B win the Nevada governor race in 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Option C win the Nevada governor race in 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Option J win the Nevada governor race in 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Option H win the Nevada governor race in 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Option G win the Nevada governor race in 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Option A win the Nevada governor race in 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Other win the Nevada governor race in 2026?0.0%0.0

The top 5 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 13 tracked outcomes and $452.9K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026, is priced at 54.5%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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