Aug 30, 2026
Probability rose from 92.8% to 96.8% — a 4.0-point move over the past day.
Next Mythos-Class Model by Sept 2026: Live Probability
Prediction markets price Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026 at 48.5%.
48.5%+2.5 pts 24h
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
Updated · Volume $670.0K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by October 31, 2026? | 97.4% | +3.5 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? | 88.5% | 0.0 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026? | 79.0% | 0.0 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026? | 74.5% | +10.5 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026? | 69.5% | +8.0 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026? | 69.0% | +5.5 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026? | 54.5% | 0.0 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026? | 48.5% | +2.5 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | 22.0% | -5.0 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
Context
Aug 29, 2026
Probability fell from 96.0% to 93.4% — a 2.5-point move over the past day.
Aug 28, 2026
Probability fell from 95.0% to 91.5% — a 3.4-point move over the past day.
Aug 27, 2026
Probability fell from 96.0% to 93.0% — a 3.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 26, 2026
Probability rose from 93.5% to 96.8% — a 3.2-point move over the past day.
Show earlier updates
Aug 25, 2026
Probability rose from 82.5% to 93.5% — a 11.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 24, 2026
Probability rose from 50.0% to 85.0% — a 35.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 22, 2026
Probability fell from 60.5% to 58.0% — a 2.5-point move over the past day.
Aug 22, 2026
Probability fell from 77.5% to 58.5% — a 19.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 21, 2026
Probability fell from 80.0% to 77.5% — a 2.5-point move over the past day.
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 10 tracked outcomes and $670.0K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026, is priced at 48.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice