Sep 2, 2026
Probability rose from 79.0% to 100.0% — a 21.0-point move over the past day.
Prediction markets price Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026 at 100.0%.
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?
Updated · Volume $1.6M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by October 31, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 3, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
Sep 2, 2026
Probability rose from 79.0% to 100.0% — a 21.0-point move over the past day.
Sep 1, 2026
Probability rose from 55.0% to 100.0% — a 45.0-point move over the past day.
Sep 1, 2026
Probability rose from 63.0% to 100.0% — a 37.0-point move over the past day.
Sep 1, 2026
Probability rose from 94.7% to 96.0% — a 1.4-point move over the past day.
Aug 30, 2026
Probability rose from 92.8% to 96.8% — a 4.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 29, 2026
Probability fell from 96.0% to 93.4% — a 2.5-point move over the past day.
Aug 28, 2026
Probability fell from 95.0% to 91.5% — a 3.4-point move over the past day.
Aug 27, 2026
Probability fell from 96.0% to 93.0% — a 3.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 26, 2026
Probability rose from 93.5% to 96.8% — a 3.2-point move over the past day.
Aug 25, 2026
Probability rose from 82.5% to 93.5% — a 11.0-point move over the past day.
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 11 tracked outcomes and $1.6M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026, is priced at 100.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice