Next Premier of Quebec: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election at 76.0%.
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
Updated · Volume $322.4K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | 76.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | 19.7% | -0.4 |
| Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | 5.1% | +1.3 |
| Will Ruba Ghazal be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | 0.2% | +0.1 |
| Will Sol Zanetti be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will someone else be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 99.8% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 8 tracked outcomes and $322.4K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election, is priced at 76.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice