Next President of New Caledonia: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will someone else be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia at 50.0%.
50.0%
Will someone else be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?
Updated · Volume $50.9K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Milakulo Tukumuli be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia? | 98.3% | -0.7 |
| Will someone else be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia? | 50.0% | — |
| Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia? | 0.6% | — |
| Will Gilbert Tyuienon be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia? | 0.5% | — |
| Will Pascal Sawa be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia? | 0.4% | — |
| Will Gil Brial be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia? | 0.3% | — |
| Will Paul Néaoutyine be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia? | 0.3% | — |
| Will Christopher Gygès be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia? | 0.3% | — |
| Will Virginie Ruffenach be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia? | 0.3% | — |
| Will Louis Mapou be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia? | 0.2% | — |
| Will Johanito Wamytan be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Pierre Chanel Tutugoro be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Nicolas Metzdorf be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Sonia Backès be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Jean Pierre Djaïwé be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia? | 0.1% | — |
The top 5 outcomes account for 149.9% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 15 tracked outcomes and $50.9K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will someone else be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia, is priced at 50.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice