Next Prime Minister of Spain?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will someone else be the next Prime Minister of Spain at 50.0%.
50.0%0.0 pts 24h
Will someone else be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Updated · Volume $1.9M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | 81.5% | 0.0 |
| Will someone else be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | 15.0% | -1.3 |
| Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | 1.8% | -0.5 |
| Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | 0.4% | -0.1 |
| Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Cuca Gamarra be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Ester Muñoz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Borja Sémper be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Carles Puigdemont be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Pepa Millán be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Óscar Puente be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Ernest Urtasun be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Miguel Tellado be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will María Jesús Montero be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 17 tracked outcomes and $1.9M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will someone else be the next Prime Minister of Spain, is priced at 50.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice