Sep 7, 2026
Probability rose from 74.0% to 81.0% — a 7.0-point move over the past day.
NH-01 Republican Primary Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets have settled Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01 at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01Event concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $168.4K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Elizabeth Girard be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Brian Cole be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? | 0.1% | — |
| Will another candidate be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? | 0.0% | — |
Context
Aug 27, 2026
Probability fell from 89.5% to 73.5% — a 16.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 26, 2026
Probability fell from 89.5% to 75.0% — a 14.5-point move over the past day.
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice