Aug 18, 2026
Probability rose from 54.1% to 78.3% — a 24.2-point move over the past day.
Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets have settled Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary electionEvent concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $1.0M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Leisa Mitchell Haynes win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Chip Keating win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Jake Merrick win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Ryan Walters win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? | 0.0% | — |
| Will another candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Matt Pinnell win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? | 0.0% | — |
Context
Aug 17, 2026
Probability fell from 74.4% to 54.1% — a 20.2-point move over the past day.
Aug 13, 2026
Probability rose from 55.1% to 74.0% — a 18.9-point move over the past day.
Aug 12, 2026
Probability fell from 72.0% to 55.1% — a 16.8-point move over the past day.
Aug 7, 2026
Probability rose from 56.2% to 72.9% — a 16.6-point move over the past day.
Show earlier updates
Aug 6, 2026
Probability fell from 71.5% to 56.2% — a 15.2-point move over the past day.
Jul 31, 2026
Probability fell from 80.5% to 78.6% — a 1.8-point move over the past day.
Jul 22, 2026
Probability rose from 79.8% to 83.9% — a 4.1-point move over the past day.
Jul 21, 2026
Probability fell from 81.5% to 78.7% — a 2.8-point move over the past day.
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice