Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election at 82.2%.

82.2%+0.8 pts 24h

Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Updated · Volume $421.8K

35%57%78%100%Jun 14Jun 22Jun 29Jul 7Jul 14
OutcomeProbability24h
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?82.2%+0.8
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?15.5%-1.5
Will Leisa Mitchell Haynes win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?0.1%0.0
Will Matt Pinnell win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?0.1%0.0
Will Jake Merrick win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?0.1%0.0
Will Chip Keating win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?0.1%0.0
Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?0.1%0.0
Will Ryan Walters win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?0.1%0.0
Will another candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?0.0%

The top 5 outcomes account for 97.8% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 9 tracked outcomes and $421.8K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election, is priced at 82.2%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice