Jul 23, 2026
Probability fell from 3.4% to 0.6% — a 2.8-point move over the past day.
Prediction markets have settled Peru Presidential Election Invalidated at 0.1%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Updated · Volume $90.8K
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
Jul 23, 2026
Probability fell from 3.4% to 0.6% — a 2.8-point move over the past day.
Jul 22, 2026
Probability rose from 0.7% to 3.0% — a 2.4-point move over the past day.
Jul 21, 2026
Probability rose from 0.8% to 4.3% — a 3.5-point move over the past day.
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice