Will Ruben Rocha Be Out as Sinaloa Governor by July 31?

Prediction markets have settled Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by July 31 at 0.5%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by July 31Event concluded — awaiting official settlement

Updated · Volume $486.1K

Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.

OutcomeProbability24h
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by July 31?0.5%
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?0.0%
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by June 30?0.0%

Context

Aug 1, 2026

Probability fell from 7.0% to 4.0% — a 3.0-point move over the past day.

This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.

The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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