Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election at 86.5%.

86.5%+2.0 pts 24h

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Updated · Volume $408.3K

76%80%84%89%Aug 1Aug 8Aug 16Aug 23Aug 30
OutcomeProbability24h
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?86.5%+2.0
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?6.9%-0.7
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?6.8%-0.1
Will United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.6%+0.1
Will Yabloko win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.1%-0.3
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.1%0.0
Will Civic Platform (GP) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.1%0.0
Will Rodina win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.1%0.0
Will Party N win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.0%0.0
Will Party B win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.0%0.0
Will Party D win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.0%0.0
Will Party I win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.0%0.0
Will Party Q win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.0%0.0
Will Other win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.0%0.0
Will Party S win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.0%0.0
Will Party E win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.0%0.0
Will Party P win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.0%0.0
Will Party R win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.0%0.0
Will Party X win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.0%0.0
Will Party J win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.0%0.0
Will Party L win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.0%0.0
Will Party F win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.0%0.0
Will Party H win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.0%0.0
Will Party K win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.0%0.0
Will Party M win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.0%0.0
Will Party T win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.0%0.0
Will Party C win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.0%0.0
Will Party V win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.0%0.0
Will Party Y win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.0%0.0
Will Party U win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.0%0.0
Will Party Z win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.0%0.0
Will Party G win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.0%0.0
Will Party W win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.0%0.0
Will Party O win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.0%0.0

The top 5 outcomes account for 99.9% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 34 tracked outcomes and $408.3K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election, is priced at 86.5%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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