São Tomé Presidential Election First Round: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets have settled Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential electionsEvent concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $42.1K
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Nino Monteiro win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Jorge Bom Jesus win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | 0.0% | — |
| Will someone else win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Nito Abreu win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Elsa Pinto win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | 0.0% | — |
Context
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice