Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will List Z win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election at 50.0%.
50.0%0.0 pts 24h
Will List Z win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Updated · Volume $1.3M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 60.5% | -1.0 |
| Will List Z win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will List W win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will List L win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will List N win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will List Q win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will List C win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will List A win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will List Y win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will List P win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will List V win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will List K win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will List T win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will List E win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will List X win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will List M win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will List J win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will List D win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will List S win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will List H win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will List I win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will List B win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will List G win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will List F win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will List U win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will List O win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will another list win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will List R win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 38.5% | 0.0 |
| Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 37 tracked outcomes and $1.3M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will List Z win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, is priced at 50.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice