South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will someone else be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina at 50.0%.
50.0%0.0 pts 24h
Will someone else be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Updated · Volume $364.5K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | 71.2% | -1.4 |
| Will someone else be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | 20.5% | +3.0 |
| Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | 6.0% | -2.0 |
| Will Mark Lynch be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | 1.6% | +0.3 |
| Will Trey Gowdy be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | 0.9% | -2.6 |
| Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | 0.5% | -0.1 |
| Will Sheri Biggs be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Nancy Mace be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Joe Wilson be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Paul Dans be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Scott Bessent be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will André Bauer be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Alan Wilson be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will William Timmons be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 15 tracked outcomes and $364.5K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will someone else be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina, is priced at 50.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice