Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets have settled Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election at 99.2%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary electionEvent concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $1.7M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 99.2% | -0.1 |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.7% | +0.2 |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Will the Green Party (MP) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will the Liberals (L) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will the Centre Party (C) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will the Left Party (V) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Party G win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party E win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Other win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party S win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party A win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party D win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party I win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party Q win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party R win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party U win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party F win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party L win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party N win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party O win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party X win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party B win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party T win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party H win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party K win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party M win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party J win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party C win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party W win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party Z win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party V win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party Y win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party P win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
Context
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice