Taipei Mayor Election Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will another candidate win the next Taipei Mayor election at 50.0%.
50.0%0.0 pts 24h
Will another candidate win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Updated · Volume $1.2M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | 60.5% | -2.0 |
| Will another candidate win the next Taipei Mayor election? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | 37.8% | -0.7 |
| Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 4 tracked outcomes and $1.2M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will another candidate win the next Taipei Mayor election, is priced at 50.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice