Sep 7, 2026
Probability rose from 38.6% to 57.8% — a 19.1-point move over the past day.
Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Other win the Tallahassee mayoral election at 50.0%.
50.0%0.0 pts 24h
Will Other win the Tallahassee mayoral election?
Updated · Volume $142.5K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Other win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | 46.0% | -0.5 |
| Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | 45.1% | -1.8 |
| Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | 6.5% | +1.1 |
| Will Al Lawson win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Michael Foust win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Context
Sep 6, 2026
Probability rose from 38.8% to 61.1% — a 22.3-point move over the past day.
Sep 5, 2026
Probability rose from 36.2% to 51.0% — a 14.8-point move over the past day.
Aug 29, 2026
Probability rose from 44.1% to 54.5% — a 10.4-point move over the past day.
Aug 27, 2026
Probability rose from 40.2% to 54.0% — a 13.8-point move over the past day.
Show earlier updates
Aug 27, 2026
Probability rose from 36.1% to 63.3% — a 27.2-point move over the past day.
Aug 25, 2026
Probability fell from 60.5% to 52.0% — a 8.5-point move over the past day.
Aug 24, 2026
Probability fell from 60.5% to 55.0% — a 5.5-point move over the past day.
Aug 22, 2026
Probability rose from 37.0% to 66.3% — a 29.3-point move over the past day.
Aug 20, 2026
Probability fell from 62.5% to 59.0% — a 3.5-point move over the past day.
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 6 tracked outcomes and $142.5K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Other win the Tallahassee mayoral election, is priced at 50.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice