Jul 18, 2026
Probability rose from 79.5% to 99.2% — a 19.7-point move over the past day.
Around this time: Hungary's president agrees to stand down after parliament backs removal — BBC News
Tamas Sulyok out as Hungary's President?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets have settled Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31 at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31Event concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $881.2K
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31? | 100.0% | — |
| Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? | 0.0% | — |
Context
Jul 18, 2026
Probability fell from 82.0% to 74.5% — a 7.5-point move over the past day.
Jul 17, 2026
Probability rose from 74.0% to 82.5% — a 8.5-point move over the past day.
Jul 16, 2026
Probability rose from 76.5% to 81.5% — a 5.0-point move over the past day.
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice