Tennessee Governor Democratic Primary: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets have settled Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.

Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary electionEvent concluded — awaiting official settlement

Updated · Volume $94.5K

Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.

OutcomeProbability24h
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?100.0%
Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?0.1%
Will Tim Cyr win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?0.1%
Will Adam Kurtz win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?0.1%
Will Kevin Lee McCants win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?0.1%
Will another candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?0.0%

Context

Jul 31, 2026

Probability rose from 95.0% to 96.2% — a 1.2-point move over the past day.

Jul 30, 2026

Probability fell from 95.0% to 93.0% — a 1.9-point move over the past day.

Jul 29, 2026

Probability rose from 94.5% to 96.2% — a 1.7-point move over the past day.

This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.

The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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