Texas Governor Election Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026 at 76.6%.
76.6%-0.4 pts 24h
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Updated · Volume $576.5K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | 76.6% | -0.4 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | 23.5% | +1.0 |
| Will Other win the Texas governor race in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option H win the Texas governor race in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option A win the Texas governor race in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option D win the Texas governor race in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option C win the Texas governor race in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option E win the Texas governor race in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option B win the Texas governor race in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option G win the Texas governor race in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option F win the Texas governor race in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option J win the Texas governor race in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Option I win the Texas governor race in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 13 tracked outcomes and $576.5K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026, is priced at 76.6%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice