Texas Senate Election Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026 at 56.5%.
56.5%+1.0 pts 24h
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Updated · Volume $586.4K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | 56.5% | +1.0 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | 44.5% | 0.0 |
| Will a candidate not listed above win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | 0.0% | — |
The top 3 outcomes account for 101.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 3 tracked outcomes and $586.4K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026, is priced at 56.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice