Aug 11, 2026
Probability rose from 34.4% to 69.0% — a 34.7-point move over the past day.
Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets have settled Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary electionEvent concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $123.7K
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Charity Clark win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Esther Charlestin win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Mike Pieciak win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will another candidate win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? | 0.0% | — |
Context
Aug 10, 2026
Probability fell from 68.5% to 52.5% — a 16.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 10, 2026
Probability rose from 30.1% to 55.5% — a 25.4-point move over the past day.
Aug 7, 2026
Probability rose from 37.5% to 71.5% — a 34.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 6, 2026
Probability rose from 46.5% to 66.5% — a 20.0-point move over the past day.
Show earlier updates
Aug 5, 2026
Probability rose from 27.0% to 49.9% — a 22.8-point move over the past day.
Aug 3, 2026
Probability rose from 38.5% to 62.0% — a 23.5-point move over the past day.
Aug 2, 2026
Probability fell from 70.5% to 57.0% — a 13.5-point move over the past day.
Jul 22, 2026
Probability rose from 63.0% to 74.0% — a 11.0-point move over the past day.
Jul 17, 2026
Probability rose from 55.0% to 62.5% — a 7.5-point move over the past day.
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice