Aug 1, 2026
Resolved: Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI — YES. A week before, markets priced it at 50%.
What Will Happen Before GTA VI? Current Probabilities: Result & Final Odds
Prediction markets have settled Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VIResolved — markets priced this at 100% a week before
Updated · Volume $23.6M
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI? | 100.0% | — |
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? | 100.0% | — |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | 50.0% | — |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | 50.0% | — |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | 50.0% | — |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | 50.0% | — |
| Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | 50.0% | — |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI? | 50.0% | — |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | 50.0% | — |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI? | 50.0% | — |
Context
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice