Jul 27, 2026
Probability rose from 67.5% to 100.0% — a 32.5-point move over the past day.
Around this time: Trump takes economic message to Michigan amid dwindling popularity — Al Jazeera
Prediction markets have settled Will Trump say "Fake News" during Michigan remarks at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Updated · Volume $324.7K
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during Michigan remarks? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Trump say "Percent" 15+ times during Michigan remarks? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Michigan remarks? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Trump say "Hottest" during Michigan remarks? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Michigan remarks? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Trump say "Save America" during Michigan remarks? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Trump say "Loan" during Michigan remarks? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during Michigan remarks? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Trump say "Oil" during Michigan remarks? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" during Michigan remarks? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Trump say "Toyota" during Michigan remarks? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" during Michigan remarks? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Trump say "Trump" 5+ times during Michigan remarks? | 94.0% | — |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Michigan remarks? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Michigan remarks? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Trump’s remarks not air? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Trump say "Ethanol" during Michigan remarks? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 10+ times during Michigan remarks? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Trump say "Steel" during Michigan remarks? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Trump say "Regulation" during Michigan remarks? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Trump say "Motor City" during Michigan remarks? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during Michigan remarks? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Trump say "Mars" during Michigan remarks? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Trump say "USMCA" or "NAFTA" during Michigan remarks? | 0.0% | — |
Jul 27, 2026
Probability rose from 67.5% to 100.0% — a 32.5-point move over the past day.
Around this time: Trump takes economic message to Michigan amid dwindling popularity — Al Jazeera
Jul 27, 2026
Probability rose from 75.5% to 100.0% — a 24.5-point move over the past day.
Around this time: Trump takes economic message to Michigan amid dwindling popularity — Al Jazeera
Jul 27, 2026
Probability rose from 69.0% to 100.0% — a 31.0-point move over the past day.
Around this time: Trump takes economic message to Michigan amid dwindling popularity — Al Jazeera
Jul 27, 2026
Probability rose from 76.0% to 100.0% — a 24.0-point move over the past day.
Jul 27, 2026
Probability rose from 87.5% to 100.0% — a 12.5-point move over the past day.
Jul 27, 2026
Probability rose from 61.0% to 100.0% — a 39.0-point move over the past day.
Jul 27, 2026
Probability rose from 80.0% to 100.0% — a 20.0-point move over the past day.
Jul 27, 2026
Probability rose from 78.0% to 93.5% — a 15.5-point move over the past day.
Jul 27, 2026
Probability rose from 60.0% to 89.5% — a 29.5-point move over the past day.
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice