Jul 20, 2026
Resolved: Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup — NO.
2026 FIFA World Cup: Result & Final Odds
Prediction markets have settled Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World CupResolved — markets priced this at 100% a week before
Updated · Volume $10.8M
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 100.0% | — |
| Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will another continent win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
Context
Jul 19, 2026
Probability rose from 58.5% to 61.0% — a 2.5-point move over the past day.
Around this time: Spain or Argentina, who will win the FIFA World Cup? Ex-player predictions — Al Jazeera
Jul 16, 2026
Probability fell from 79.5% to 58.5% — a 21.0-point move over the past day.
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice