Aug 20, 2026
Probability rose from 92.0% to 100.0% — a 8.0-point move over the past day.
Around this time: Republican senator Dan Sullivan and Democrat Mary Peltola advance in Alaska Senate primary — The Guardian
Will Tom Begich advance in Alaska's governor primary?
Prediction markets have settled Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary electionEvent concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $344.5K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Lesil McGuire advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 2.5% | — |
| Will Adam Crum advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 1.4% | — |
| Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 1.3% | — |
| Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 1.0% | — |
| Will James Parkin advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Destry J. Payne Sr. advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Nancy Dahlstrom advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Edna DeVries advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Gregg Brelsford advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Bruce Walden advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Jessica Faircloth advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Hank Kroll advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Bill Walker advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Shelley Hughes advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 0.0% | — |
Context
Aug 19, 2026
Probability rose from 82.0% to 100.0% — a 18.0-point move over the past day.
Around this time: What to watch in the Alaska and Wyoming primary elections — Al Jazeera
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice