Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election at 43.5%.
43.5%+2.5 pts 24h
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
Updated · Volume $220.8K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 95.5% | +0.4 |
| Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 79.0% | +5.0 |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 65.5% | -3.0 |
| Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 43.5% | +2.5 |
| Will Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 43.0% | -5.0 |
| Will Bill Walker advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 35.5% | -0.5 |
| Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 14.0% | +0.5 |
| Will Adam Crum advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 5.0% | -2.0 |
| Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 4.5% | — |
| Will Shelley Hughes advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 3.9% | — |
| Will Lesil McGuire advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 3.5% | — |
| Will Jessica Faircloth advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 1.8% | — |
| Will Hank Kroll advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 1.6% | — |
| Will Bruce Walden advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 1.3% | — |
| Will Nancy Dahlstrom advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 1.3% | — |
| Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 1.0% | — |
| Will Edna DeVries advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 1.0% | — |
| Will Gregg Brelsford advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 0.9% | — |
| Will Destry J. Payne Sr. advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 0.9% | — |
| Will James Parkin advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | 0.1% | — |
The top 5 outcomes account for 326.4% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 20 tracked outcomes and $220.8K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election, is priced at 43.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice