Jul 16, 2026
Probability rose from 90.8% to 100.0% — a 9.3-point move over the past day.
Taylor Swift & Travis Kelce Wedding: Guest Attendance Odds
Prediction markets price Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding at 38.0%.
38.0%+18.9 pts 24h
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Updated · Volume $1.4M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | 38.0% | +18.9 |
| Will Kanye West attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
Context
Jul 16, 2026
Probability rose from 93.6% to 100.0% — a 6.4-point move over the past day.
Jul 16, 2026
Probability rose from 90.7% to 100.0% — a 9.3-point move over the past day.
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 16 tracked outcomes and $1.4M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding, is priced at 38.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice