Who will be arrested before 2027?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027 at 26.5%.

26.5%0.0 pts 24h

Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?

Updated · Volume $435.3K

16%20%25%30%Aug 23Aug 30Sep 7Sep 14Sep 22
OutcomeProbability24h
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?26.5%0.0
Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027?17.0%-1.0
Will Susan Rice be arrested before 2027?12.0%+4.5
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?11.5%0.0
Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested before 2027?10.9%0.0
Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?9.5%0.0
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?8.3%+0.7
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?7.8%-0.1
Will Candace Owens be arrested before 2027?6.9%0.0
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?5.5%-0.5
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027?4.9%0.0
Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?4.5%0.0
Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?4.5%+0.1
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?3.6%0.0
Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027?3.5%-0.2
Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027?3.0%+0.5
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?2.9%0.0
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?2.5%0.0
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?1.8%-0.1
Will Pam Bondi be arrested before 2027?1.7%-0.1
Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027?1.7%+1.1
Will John Kerry be arrested before 2027?1.4%0.0
Will Kash Patel be arrested before 2027?1.4%0.0
Will Bill Clinton be arrested before 2027?1.3%0.0

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 24 tracked outcomes and $435.3K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027, is priced at 26.5%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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