UFC Middleweight Champion 2026: Odds & Probability

The market asks a simple question: who will be the official UFC middleweight champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only the undisputed title holder counts; interim champions are ignored. If the belt is vacant or there is no champion at the check time, the market resolves to “Other”. At present, no fighter commands a clear majority. Strickland’s close to a coin flip probability reflects deep uncertainty — the division is in flux and bettors see little separating the top contenders. Imavov commands a a substantial minority view chance, a figure that keeps him in the conversation but well behind the frontrunner. Khamzat Chimaev and Dricus Du Plessis both carry unlikely and unlikely odds respectively, with markets viewing each as unlikely. Beyond the top four, the probabilities collapse. Caio Borralho is effectively ruled out, and Israel Adesanya, the former long-reigning champion, is effectively ruled out. The remaining names — Brendan Allen, Jared Cannonier, Anthony Hernandez, Joe Pyfer, Reinier de Ridder, and Robert Whittaker — are all priced as remote tails, their chances effectively zero by market consensus. Trading volume stands at $888.5K and the position has moved -5.1 pts over the past day. Data updated 12 min ago.