Who Will Leave Trump Administration Before 2027?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will Dan Scavino leave the Trump administration before 2027 at 29.6%.

29.6%0.0 pts 24h

Will Dan Scavino leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Updated · Volume $1.4M

20%24%28%32%Aug 23Aug 30Sep 7Sep 14Sep 22
OutcomeProbability24h
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration before 2027?100.0%0.0
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer leave the Trump administration before 2027?100.0%0.0
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?100.0%0.0
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?100.0%0.0
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?100.0%0.0
Will Dan Scavino leave the Trump administration before 2027?29.6%0.0
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?26.0%-2.0
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?26.0%-2.0
Will Markwayne Mullin leave the Trump administration before 2027?23.0%-1.0
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?23.0%-0.5
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?20.0%-1.0
Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?18.5%-8.0
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?18.1%-0.1
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?18.0%+1.5
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?17.5%+1.5
Will Russell Vought leave the Trump administration before 2027?16.0%-0.5
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?14.9%-3.0
Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before 2027?12.0%0.0
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?7.5%-4.5
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?7.0%-1.0
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?6.0%0.0

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 21 tracked outcomes and $1.4M in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will Dan Scavino leave the Trump administration before 2027, is priced at 29.6%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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