Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027 at 26.5%.
26.5%0.0 pts 24h
Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?
Updated · Volume $476.9K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027? | 26.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027? | 21.5% | -4.5 |
| Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027? | 19.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? | 16.0% | +1.5 |
| Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027? | 14.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027? | 12.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny before 2027? | 10.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Trump pardon Eric Adams before 2027? | 8.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Trump pardon Young Thug before 2027? | 6.7% | 0.0 |
| Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027? | 6.5% | -2.0 |
| Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027? | 5.8% | +0.1 |
| Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez before 2027? | 5.7% | -0.2 |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027? | 5.4% | -0.2 |
| Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027? | 4.8% | -0.1 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? | 4.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027? | 4.3% | 0.0 |
| Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? | 3.9% | +0.1 |
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden before 2027? | 3.9% | 0.0 |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | 3.9% | -0.1 |
| Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027? | 3.6% | -0.5 |
| Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey before 2027? | 3.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Trump pardon Andrew Tate before 2027? | 3.5% | -0.5 |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027? | 3.3% | 0.0 |
| Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027? | 3.2% | -0.4 |
| Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? | 3.2% | 0.0 |
| Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? | 2.9% | 0.0 |
| Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden before 2027? | 2.6% | +0.1 |
| Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? | 2.5% | +0.1 |
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 28 tracked outcomes and $476.9K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027, is priced at 26.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice