Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027 at 43.0%.
43.0%-6.0 pts 24h
Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027?
Updated · Volume $347.6K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027? | 43.0% | -6.0 |
| Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny before 2027? | 43.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027? | 37.0% | -3.0 |
| Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027? | 30.5% | +1.0 |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027? | 17.0% | +4.1 |
| Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez before 2027? | 14.0% | -32.4 |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027? | 13.5% | +0.5 |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027? | 12.0% | -2.0 |
| Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027? | 11.5% | — |
| Will Trump pardon Eric Adams before 2027? | 10.5% | — |
| Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027? | 10.0% | — |
| Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027? | 9.0% | — |
| Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027? | 9.0% | — |
| Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? | 8.5% | — |
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden before 2027? | 8.2% | — |
| Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey before 2027? | 7.4% | — |
| Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? | 7.3% | — |
| Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027? | 7.1% | — |
| Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? | 6.1% | — |
| Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden before 2027? | 5.6% | — |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | 5.6% | — |
| Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027? | 5.0% | — |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? | 4.9% | — |
| Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027? | 4.5% | — |
| Will Trump pardon Young Thug before 2027? | 3.5% | — |
| Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? | 3.4% | — |
| Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? | 2.4% | — |
The top 5 outcomes account for 170.4% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 27 tracked outcomes and $347.6K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027, is priced at 43.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice