Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary at 17.5%.

17.5%+2.0 pts 24h

Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?

Updated · Volume $453.6K

11%18%25%31%Aug 23Aug 30Sep 7Sep 14Sep 22
OutcomeProbability24h
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?17.5%+2.0
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?17.0%+0.1
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?6.5%-1.1
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?5.5%-4.0
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?2.9%+0.1
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?2.9%0.0
Will Katie Miller be the next White House Press Secretary?2.5%0.0
Will Tricia McLaughlin be the next White House Press Secretary?1.8%+0.3
Will Harrison Fields be the next White House Press Secretary?0.7%+0.1
Will Liz Huston be the next White House Press Secretary?0.7%0.0
Will Taylor Rogers be the next White House Press Secretary?0.7%0.0
Will Lauren Bis be the next White House Press Secretary?0.7%+0.0
Will Lara Trump be the next White House Press Secretary?0.6%+0.2
Will Pat Adams be the next White House Press Secretary?0.6%0.0
Will Kush Desai be the next White House Press Secretary?0.3%+0.1
Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary?0.3%+0.1
Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary?0.3%+0.1
Will Spencer Pratt be the next White House Press Secretary?0.3%-0.1
Will Kaelan Dorr be the next White House Press Secretary?0.3%+0.1
Will Katie Pavlich be the next White House Press Secretary?0.1%0.0
Will Ari Fleischer be the next White House Press Secretary?0.1%+0.1
Will Monica Crowley be the next White House Press Secretary?0.1%0.0
Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?0.1%0.0
Will Hogan Gidley be the next White House Press Secretary?0.1%0.0
Will Rachel Campos-Duffy be the next White House Press Secretary?0.1%0.0
Will Matthew Boyle be the next White House Press Secretary?0.1%0.0

The top 5 outcomes account for 79.0% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 26 tracked outcomes and $453.6K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary, is priced at 17.5%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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