Jul 26, 2026
Probability rose from 72.5% to 100.0% — a 27.5-point move over the past day.
Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets have settled Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by July 31, 2026 at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by July 31, 2026Event concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $3.3M
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by July 31, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by July 31, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by July 31, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by July 31, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by July 31, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by July 31, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by July 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Norah O'Donnell by July 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by July 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by July 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by July 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by July 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by July 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by July 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alex Jones by July 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by July 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by July 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mohammed bin Salman by July 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Megyn Kelly by July 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by July 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Viktor Orbán by July 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by July 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
Context
Jul 25, 2026
Probability rose from 51.0% to 100.0% — a 49.0-point move over the past day.
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice