Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by July 31, 2026 at 47.0%.
47.0%+34.0 pts 24h
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by July 31, 2026?
Updated · Volume $64.3K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by July 31, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by July 31, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by July 31, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by July 31, 2026? | 47.0% | +34.0 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by July 31, 2026? | 43.0% | +8.5 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by July 31, 2026? | 23.5% | +0.5 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by July 31, 2026? | 20.0% | +3.0 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026? | 17.5% | -2.0 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by July 31, 2026? | 15.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | 14.5% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? | 14.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by July 31, 2026? | 13.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alex Jones by July 31, 2026? | 13.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by July 31, 2026? | 12.5% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Megyn Kelly by July 31, 2026? | 12.5% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by July 31, 2026? | 12.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Norah O'Donnell by July 31, 2026? | 11.5% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | 11.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | 10.8% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by July 31, 2026? | 10.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by July 31, 2026? | 8.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Viktor Orbán by July 31, 2026? | 4.3% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by July 31, 2026? | 3.9% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by July 31, 2026? | 2.8% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by July 31, 2026? | 2.8% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by July 31, 2026? | 1.5% | — |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mohammed bin Salman by July 31, 2026? | 0.7% | — |
The top 5 outcomes account for 390.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 27 tracked outcomes and $64.3K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by July 31, 2026, is priced at 47.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice