Aug 24, 2026
Probability fell from 3.6% to 1.0% — a 2.6-point move over the past day.
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance? — Odds & Probability
Prediction markets have settled Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by August 31, 2026 at 0.1%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by August 31, 2026Event concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $96.1K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by August 31, 2026? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30? | 0.0% | — |
Context
Aug 23, 2026
Probability fell from 2.1% to 1.0% — a 1.1-point move over the past day.
Aug 18, 2026
Probability fell from 5.7% to 3.8% — a 1.9-point move over the past day.
Aug 17, 2026
Probability fell from 45.0% to 3.8% — a 41.2-point move over the past day.
Aug 16, 2026
Probability rose from 2.1% to 10.7% — a 8.5-point move over the past day.
Show earlier updates
Aug 6, 2026
Probability fell from 5.1% to 3.6% — a 1.6-point move over the past day.
Aug 1, 2026
Probability rose from 5.0% to 6.0% — a 1.1-point move over the past day.
Jul 23, 2026
Probability rose from 4.5% to 10.0% — a 5.5-point move over the past day.
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice