Will Trump be impeached by...?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027 at 63.5%.
63.5%-4.5 pts 24h
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?
Updated · Volume $1.1M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027? | 63.5% | -4.5 |
| Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027? | 63.0% | +4.0 |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | 2.6% | +0.1 |
The top 3 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 3 tracked outcomes and $1.1M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027, is priced at 63.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice