Venezuela leader end of 2026?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026 at 84.4%.
84.4%+0.8 pts 24h
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Updated · Volume $95.9M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 84.4% | +0.8 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 9.5% | 0.0 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 1.8% | +0.0 |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | 1.2% | +0.1 |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.3% | +0.1 |
| Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.2% | 0.0 |
| Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 6 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 28 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 31 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 34 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 37 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 5 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 1 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 7 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 2 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 9 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 14 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 8 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 29 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 39 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 35 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 38 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 18 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 26 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 17 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 23 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 3 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 15 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Other be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 33 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 25 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 22 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 10 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 32 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 36 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 13 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 4 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 16 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 19 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 20 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 21 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 24 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 27 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 11 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 12 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 40 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Leader 30 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 98.2% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 57 tracked outcomes and $95.9M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026, is priced at 84.4%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice