Aug 6, 2026
Probability fell from 99.5% to 93.3% — a 6.2-point move over the past day.
Around this time: Republican who withdrew last month beats Trump-backed rival in Michigan — The Guardian
Wisconsin Governor Republican Primary Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets have settled Will Tom Tiffany win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will Tom Tiffany win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary electionEvent concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $101.3K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Tom Tiffany win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Andy Manske win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election? | 0.3% | — |
| Will Eric Hovde win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election? | 0.3% | — |
| Will Sean Duffy win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Rebecca Kleefisch win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Tim Michels win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Josh Schoemann win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Tommy Thompson win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will another candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election? | 0.0% | — |
Context
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice