World Cup: Nation of Top Goalscorer: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup at 56.5%.

56.5%+1.0 pts 24h

Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Updated · Volume $2.2M

17%33%49%65%Jun 14Jun 22Jun 29Jul 7Jul 14
OutcomeProbability24h
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?56.5%+1.0
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?32.9%-2.7
Will a player representing England be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?7.2%+0.3
Will a player representing Spain be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.3%-0.1
Will a player representing Ghana be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Panama be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Mexico be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Bosnia and Herzegovina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Australia be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Brazil be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Senegal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Germany be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Country D be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing USA be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Curacao be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Austria be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Portugal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Croatia be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Country E be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Netherlands be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Scotland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing New Zealand be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing DR Congo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Iraq be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Country A be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Haiti be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Belgium be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Colombia be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing another country be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Switzerland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Country C be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Country B be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing South Africa be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Ecuador be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Uruguay be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Czechia be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Paraguay be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Turkiye be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Tunisia be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Iran be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Jordan be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing South Korea be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Qatar be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Ivory Coast be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Japan be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Saudi Arabia be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Cape Verde be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Algeria be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Canada be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Uzbekistan be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Morocco be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Sweden be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%
Will a player representing Egypt be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.0%

The top 5 outcomes account for 96.8% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 54 tracked outcomes and $2.2M in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, is priced at 56.5%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice