Jul 16, 2026
Resolved: Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final — YES. A week before, markets priced it at 41%.
Will Spain Reach the 2026 World Cup Final? Odds & Probability: Result & Final Odds
Prediction markets have settled Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup finalResolved — markets priced this at 100% a week before
Updated · Volume $13.9M
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will New Zealand reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Scotland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Haiti reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will South Korea reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Panama reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Cape Verde reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Iraq reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Qatar reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Australia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Tunisia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Uzbekistan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Saudi Arabia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Austria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Ivory Coast reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Paraguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Sweden reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Curacao reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Algeria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Iran reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Jordan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Ghana reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Czechia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will DR Congo reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will South Africa reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | 0.0% | — |
Context
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice