Jul 24, 2026
Probability fell from 7.0% to 3.6% — a 3.4-point move over the past day.
Suez Canal Container Ships: 2k+ Transits in H1 2026 Odds
Prediction markets have settled 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026 at 0.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026Event concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $158.5K
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
Context
Jul 22, 2026
Probability fell from 7.0% to 3.6% — a 3.4-point move over the past day.
Jul 22, 2026
Probability rose from 3.7% to 7.0% — a 3.3-point move over the past day.
Jul 21, 2026
Probability rose from 1.9% to 3.7% — a 1.8-point move over the past day.
Jul 20, 2026
Probability rose from 1.9% to 7.0% — a 5.1-point move over the past day.
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice