Warner Bros. Discovery Acquisition Probability Before 2027
Prediction markets give Warner Bros. Discovery a 100.0% chance of being acquired before the end of 2026, a near-certain outcome that reflects strong confidence in a deal materializing.
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?
Updated · Volume $18.2M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Warner Bros. Discovery be acquired before 2027? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will iRobot be acquired before 2027? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Cursor be acquired before 2027? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? | 35.5% | +2.0 |
| Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | 15.5% | -2.5 |
| Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | 15.0% | -1.5 |
| Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? | 14.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | 14.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? | 13.4% | -0.3 |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | 11.5% | 0.0 |
| Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? | 10.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? | 8.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? | 7.0% | +0.9 |
| Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | 3.6% | 0.0 |
| Will BP be acquired before 2027? | 3.1% | -0.1 |
| Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? | 3.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? | 2.1% | 0.0 |
Warner Bros. Discovery dominates the acquisition odds, while the other listed companies range from almost as certain to distinctly improbable, with only Perplexity AI seen as an outside chance.
Context
The probability of a Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition has traded from 27.0% to 52.0% over the life of the contract, moving +2.0 pts in the past day. It currently sits at 100.0%. For the market to resolve “Yes,” credible reporting must confirm that an agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery has been announced on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Mergers where the company is subsumed count, and the agreement need only be announced—not completed—for a positive resolution. The primary resolution source is official information from the company or its leadership, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The approaching deadline of December 31, 2026, Jan 1, 2027 is the main structural factor. Any credible deal rumors, regulatory developments, or official statements would influence the price, but the resolution rules themselves center on the existence of an announced agreement by the cutoff. The sources that settlement relies on—official company disclosures and credible media—mean that price movements often track news flow about potential suitors or board decisions.
FAQ
What counts as an acquisition for this market?
A publicly reported agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery—whether through merger, takeover, or consolidation—counts toward a “Yes” resolution, even if the deal never closes.
Who determines whether a deal has been announced?
The primary source is official communication from Warner Bros. Discovery or its leadership. If that is unclear, a consensus of credible news reporting serves as the fallback.
What if an acquisition is announced after the deadline?
Any agreement disclosed after December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET does not qualify. The market would then resolve “No.”
Does the deal have to go through for the market to resolve “Yes”?
No. The announcement of a definitive agreement is sufficient; regulatory or shareholder rejections after the deadline do not change the outcome.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice